20 Jan '11, 10pm

Home Business Property Will cooling measures work this time?: Seller's stamp duty on new properties was raised a...

Government measures are most effective when they are unexpected. That was why I concluded last week that the single most effective move was not the measures themselves but the timing of their introduction. In economics, this topic is covered under the expectations theory. If the market expects the announcement, players will take positions that will nullify some of its effectiveness. Looking at the latest round of cooling measures, the tools are not very different from the previous rounds except that they come with more punitive conditions. The hike in sellers' stamp duty penalises early resale but tellingly, no mention was made of how big the problem was, unless the purpose was to deter property buying for investment by making it less attractive. Indirectly, this confirms for the first time that overly strong sales are also viewed as a problem, not just rapid price growth....

Full article: http://www.todayonline.com/Business/Property/EDC110121-00...

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