29 Sep '15, 11am

Hong Kong's Property Boom at Risk With Stocks Flashing Warning Signs: Like Singapore, HK's bubb…

Hong Kong's Property Boom at Risk With Stocks Flashing Warning Signs: Like Singapore, HK's bubb…

Hong Kong home prices are the highest relative to shares of the city’s publicly-traded developers in almost two decades. For Bocom International Holdings Co. analyst Alfred Lau, that’s a sign that the property market’s about to drop as much as 20 percent. The Hang Seng Properties Index slumped 15 percent this quarter through last week, even as a gauge of Hong Kong housing prices compiled by Centaline Property Agency Ltd. rose to a record. The stock gauge is at the lowest compared with the real estate measure since 1998, when the city’s last property bubble was bursting. “We’re just at the beginning of the correction cycle for physical property prices,” Bocom’s Lau said. “We expect a 10 to 20 percent decline in prices. Shares are already pricing in a 10 to 15 percent decline." While home values kept rising in August, sales showed signs of a slowdown. The number of transacti...

Full article: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-29/hong-ko...

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