22 Mar '14, 12pm

[New Post] A Mathematical Solution to Eddington's Controversy Problem

[New Post] A Mathematical Solution to Eddington's Controversy Problem

Sometime back, while reading Fazlollah M. Reza’s “An Introduction to Information Theory “, I revisited a solution that I have sketched out years back on the Eddington’s controvery problem . This problem is interesting to me because it exemplifies the type of confusion that existed in probability prior to the introduction of set theory considerations. Eddington is the same astrophysicist who did the solar eclipse experiment to demonstrate the prediction of light bending using Einstein’s general relativity. I thought I should share the solution which I co-solved with Yen Lee, an old friend from Cambridge who’s now a postdoc in Purdue University. To quote the problem, “If A, B, C, D each speaks the truth 1 in 3 times (independently), and A affirms that B denies that C delcares that D is a liar, what’s the probability that D was speaking the truth? ” Historically, this problem...

Full article: http://www.bernardleong.com/2009/05/23/a-mathematical-sol...

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