Can Taiwan survive in the shadow of China?

Author: Peter Drysdale, East Asia Forum In the past decade and a half, despite some ups and downs, economic and then political relations between Taiwan and mainland China have gone from strength to strength. The election of Chen Shui-bian as President of Taiwan in 2000 saw a period in which political relations were tense, even though trade shares multiplied rapidly. Chen was pro-Taiwan independence. The turning point came when Chen, nonetheless, lifted the ban on direct trade with the mainland in 2001 and with Taiwan’s and China’s accession to the WTO at the end of 2001. Before WTO accession, roughly a third of Taiwan’s exports were shipped through Hong Kong (either to China, or other destinations), another quarter to the United States, followed by the European Union, ASEAN, Japan and South Korea. Ostensibly for political-security reasons, Taiwan had limited economic relat...

Full article: http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2015/01/19/can-taiwan-surviv...

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