25 Jan '16, 3pm

New: Singapore Interest Rate Outlook for 2016 and Beyond

New: Singapore Interest Rate Outlook for 2016 and Beyond

By Paul Ho (guest contributor) In Singapore, the Sibor (Singapore Interbank Offer Rate) seems to be highly correlated to the US Federal Reserve Target Funds Rate. Hence, we tend to watch the US Federal Reserve to get clues on where mortgage interest rates in Singapore are heading. In August 2015, we forecasted that “at a rate of a ~0.1% drop per month, by November the unemployment rate should fall below 5% and the Fed may be tempted to raise the Fed Funds target rate by 0.25% to 0.5% as a precautionary measure.” In December 2015, the US unemployment rate dropped to 5% and the Federal Reserve raised the Federal Reserve overnight funds rate from 0.25% to 0.5%. Chart 1 : US Unemployment rate versus US Disposable personal income per capita (Trading Economics, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, iCompareLoan.com) The unemployment rate which is at 5% in Dec 2015 looks to be on a down...

Full article: https://www.propwise.sg/singapore-interest-rate-outlook-f...

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